An approach to prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset

Dunxin Hu; Lejiang Yu

doi:10.1007/s00343-008-0421-9

Your Location：

Home >

Browse articles >

An approach to prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset

OriginalPaper | Updated：2023-05-16

- An approach to prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset
- An approach to prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset
- 海洋湖沼学报（英文） 2008年26卷第4期页码：421-424
- Affiliations：
  
  1. Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave Chinese Academy of Sciences
  2. Institute of Oceanology Chinese Academy of Sciences
  3. Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Science
  4. Polar Research Institute of China
- Author bio：
- Funds：
  
  Supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Programm) (No. 2007CB411802 and 2006CB403603)
- DOI：10.1007/s00343-008-0421-9
  中图分类号：
- 网络首发：2009-01-23，
  
  纸质出版：2008
- Accepted：
Scan QR Code
An approach to prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset[J]. 海洋湖沼学报（英文）, 2008,26(4):421-424.

Hu, D., Yu, L. An approach to prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 26, 421–424 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-008-0421-9
An approach to prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset[J]. 海洋湖沼学报（英文）, 2008,26(4):421-424. DOI： 10.1007/s00343-008-0421-9.

Hu, D., Yu, L. An approach to prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 26, 421–424 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-008-0421-9 DOI：

摘要

Abstract

In the present paper

correlation between the South China Sea summer monsoon (SCSSM) onset and heat content in the upper layer of the warm pool in the western Pacific Ocean is examined using the Scripps Institution of Oceanography dataset for the period of 1955–1998 and an approach to prediction the SCSSM onset is proposed. Correlation showes that there exists interdecadal variability of the SCSSM onset demarcated by 1970 with the largest correlation coefficient in the area west of the center of the warm pool rather than near its centers

implying certain effect from other factors involved besides ENSO. As the correlation is poor for the period before 1970

the heat content anomaly of the warm pool after 1970 is used to indicate early or late onset of the SCSSM beforehand. An ideal representative area (1°×1°) for the warm pool heat content was determined with its center at 3°N/138°E. The nearest TAO (TAO-Tropical Atmosphere Ocean-array) mooring to the center is at 2°N/137°E

and chosen to calculate the heat content for prediction. It is suggested that the TAO mooring at 2°N/137°E could be used to predict the SCSSM onset with the heat content in the upper layer

if the correlation between the SCSSM onset and the heat content of the warm pool runs like that of after 1970. On the other hand

if the situation does like the one before 1970

the representative station is determined at 13°S/74°E with relatively poor correlation

meaning that the warm pool in the western Pacific Ocean plays more important role in the SCSSM onset than the Indian Ocean.

关键词

Keywords

references

Chen, Y. L. and D. X. Hu, 2003. Influence of heat content anomaly in the tropical western Pacific warm pool region on onset of South China Sea summer monsoon. Acta. Metro. Sin. l17: 213–225.

Gao, H. and J. Y. Liang, 2005. Definition of South China Sea summer monsoon’s onset date and East Asian summer monsoon’s index. Journal of Tropical Meteorology 21(5): 525–532. (in Chinese)

He, J. H., Y. H. Ding and H. Gao, 2001. The Certainty of Onset Dates of SCSSM and Monsoon Indexes. China Meteorological Press, Beijing, pp. 123. (in Chinese)

Hu, D. X., 2007. Ocean’s Role in Climate Change of China. Geophysics of China, Chinese Society of Geophysics, China Ocean University Press, Qingdao, p.1–2. (in Chinese)

Huang, R. H. and W. J. Li, 1987. Influence of the heat source anomaly over the tropical western Pacific on the subtropical high over East Asia. In: Proceedings of the International Conference on the General Circulation of East Asia, p. 40–51.

Li, C. Y. and L. P. Zhang, 1999. Summer monsoon activities in the South China Sea and its impacts. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 23: 257–266. (in Chinese)

Li, C. Y. and J. B. Wu, 2002. Important role of the Somalian Cross-Equator flow in the onset of the South China Sea Summer monsoon. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 26(2): 185–192. (in Chinese)

Tao, S. Y. and L. X. Chen, 1987. A review of recent research on the East Asian summer monsoon in China. In: Monsoon Meteorology, Oxford: Oxford University Press, p. 60–92.

Wyrtki, K., 1989. Some thoughts about the West Pacific Warm Pool. In: Proceeding of the Western Pacific International Meeting and Workshop on TOGA-COARE. New Caledonia, p. 99–109.

Wu, S. S., J. Y. Liang and C. H. Li, 2003. Relationship between the intensity of South China Sea summer monsoon and the precipitation in raining seasons in China. Journal of Tropical Meteorology 19(suppl.): 25–36. (in Chinese)

Zhu, Q. G., J. H. He and P. X. Wang, 1986. A study of circulation difference between East-Asian and Indian summer monsoons with their interactions. Advances of Atmospheric Science 3(4): 466–477.

浏览量

Downloads

CSCD

文章被引用时，请邮件提醒。

Submit

工具集

关联资源

Sri Lanka seasonal warm pools

Relationship between oceanic heat content and sea surface height on interannual time scale

The Western Boundary Current of the pacific and its role in the climate

Regional features of long-term SST variation in the Western Pacific Warm Pool area

Zonal displacement of western Pacific warm pool and zonal wind anomaly over the Pacific Ocean