Influence of sea level rise on Shanghai astronomical tide and storm surge and estimation of probable water level

Duan Yi-hong; Qin Zeng-hao; Li Yong-ping

doi:10.1007/BF02844926

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Influence of sea level rise on Shanghai astronomical tide and storm surge and estimation of probable water level

OriginalPaper | Updated：2023-05-16

- Influence of sea level rise on Shanghai astronomical tide and storm surge and estimation of probable water level
- Influence of sea level rise on Shanghai astronomical tide and storm surge and estimation of probable water level
- 海洋湖沼学报（英文） 1998年16卷第4期页码：298-307
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- Author bio：
- Funds：
  
  This work was sponsored by the Shanghai Science & Technology Development Foundation.
- DOI：10.1007/BF02844926
  中图分类号：
- 纸质出版：1998
- Accepted：
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Influence of sea level rise on Shanghai astronomical tide and storm surge and estimation of probable water level[J]. 海洋湖沼学报（英文）, 1998,16(4):298-307.

Yi-hong, D., Zeng-hao, Q. & Yong-ping, L. Influence of sea level rise on Shanghai astronomical tide and storm surge and estimation of probable water level., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 16, 298–307 (1998). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02844926
Influence of sea level rise on Shanghai astronomical tide and storm surge and estimation of probable water level[J]. 海洋湖沼学报（英文）, 1998,16(4):298-307. DOI： 10.1007/BF02844926.

Yi-hong, D., Zeng-hao, Q. & Yong-ping, L. Influence of sea level rise on Shanghai astronomical tide and storm surge and estimation of probable water level., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 16, 298–307 (1998). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02844926 DOI：

摘要

Abstract

A nonlinear two-dimension dynamic model of storm surge (SS) and astronomical tide (AT) was used to investigate the effects of SS and AT on expected sea level rise (SLR) at principal coastal stations in the Shanghai region and to estimate numerically the probable maximum water level for 2010–2050. Evidence suggests that SLR causes reduction of SS; that its influence on SS depends on the intensity and path of a tropical cyclone and the station locality; that the SLR's effects on AT vary periodically

with the period being the same as that of the AT's; and that as the SLR increment grows

its impact increases; below mean sea level (MSL) the effect is positive at rising tide and negative at ebb tide

and vice versa for the effect above MSL. Study of the probable maximum water level (by assuming SLR

SS along favorable tropical cyclone's path

its possible maximum intensity and effective spring AT at a range of set paths of Cyclones 5612

8114

9417) showed that the probable maximum water level is 740

745

and 751 cm in the years 2010

2030

and 2050

respectively

over the target region.

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references

He Hongju, 1994. Sea Level Rise Influence on Deltas of China, and the Countermeasures. Science Press, Beijing, p. 174–180. (in Chinese)

Peng Tianyu, Yang Guiye, 1994. Effects of Sea Level Rise upon Deltas in China together with Countermoves. Science Press, Beijing, p. 181–186. (in Chinese)

Qin Zenghao, Li Yongping, 1997. Preliminary study on the sea level change and its long term prognostic method for Shanghai.Acta Oceanologica Sinica 19: 1–7. (in Chinese with English Abstract)

Qin Zenghao, Duan Yihong, Shen Zhengsheng et al., 1995. Numerical Simulation and Prediction of Storm Surge and Water Levels in Shanghai Harbour and Its Vicinity.Natural, Hazards 9: 167–188.

Xue Zongyuan, Tang Zhuoyue, 1995: The return periods calculation of tropical cyclone hitting Shanghai.Research and Application of Atmospheric Science 2: 112–115.

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