Response of the North Pacific Oscillation to global warming in the models of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report

Zheng CHEN; Bolan GAN; Lixin WU

doi:10.1007/s00343-018-7022-z

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Response of the North Pacific Oscillation to global warming in the models of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report

Physics | Updated：2023-05-19

- Response of the North Pacific Oscillation to global warming in the models of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report
- Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology Vol. 36, Issue 3, Pages: 601-611(2018)
- Affiliations：
  
  Physical Oceanography Laboratory/CIMST, Ocean University of China, and Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266003, China
- Author bio：
  
  CHEN Zheng, chenzhengouc@163.com
- Funds：
- DOI：10.1007/s00343-018-7022-z
  CLC：
- Received：18 January 2017，
  
  Accepted：06 April 2017，
  
  Online First：26 April 2017，
  
  Published：2018-05
- Accepted：
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Zheng CHEN, Bolan GAN, Lixin WU. Response of the North Pacific Oscillation to global warming in the models of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report[J]. Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 2018, 36(3): 601-611.
DOI：

Zheng CHEN, Bolan GAN, Lixin WU. Response of the North Pacific Oscillation to global warming in the models of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report[J]. Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 2018, 36(3): 601-611. DOI： 10.1007/s00343-018-7022-z.

摘要

Abstract

Based on 22 of the climate models from phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project

we investigate the ability of the models to reproduce the spatiotemporal features of the wintertime North Pacific Oscillation (NPO)

which is the second most important factor determining the wintertime sea level pressure field in simulations of the pre-industrial control climate

and evaluate the NPO response to the future most reasonable global warming scenario (the A1B scenario). We reveal that while most models simulate the geographic distribution and amplitude of the NPO pattern satisfactorily

only 13 models capture both features well. However

the temporal variability of the simulated NPO could not be significantly correlated with the observations. Further analysis indicates the weakened NPO intensity for a scenario of strong global warming is attributable to the reduced lower-tropospheric baroclinicity at mid-latitudes

which is anticipated to disrupt large-scale and low-frequency atmospheric variability

resulting in the diminished transfer of energy to the NPO

together with its northward shift.

关键词

Keywords

references

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