Analyzing the influences of two types of El Niño on tropical cyclone genesis with a modified genesis potential index

Yuxing Yang; Lei Yang; Faming Wang

doi:10.1007/s00343-016-5295-7

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Analyzing the influences of two types of El Niño on tropical cyclone genesis with a modified genesis potential index

Updated：2023-05-16

- Analyzing the influences of two types of El Niño on tropical cyclone genesis with a modified genesis potential index
- Journal of Oceanology and Limnology Vol. 35, Issue 2, Pages: 452-465(2017)
- Affiliations：
  
  1. Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Wave Institute of Oceanology Chinese Academy of Sciences
  2. Laboratory for Ocean Dynamics and Climate Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology
  3. State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography South China Sea Institute of Oceanology Chinese Academy of Sciences
- Author bio：
- Funds：
- DOI：10.1007/s00343-016-5295-7
  CLC：
- Online First：12 May 2016，
  
  Published：2017
- Accepted：
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Yang, Y., Yang, L. & Wang, F. Analyzing the influences of two types of El Niño on tropical cyclone genesis with a modified genesis potential index., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 35, 452–465 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-016-5295-7
DOI：

Yang, Y., Yang, L. & Wang, F. Analyzing the influences of two types of El Niño on tropical cyclone genesis with a modified genesis potential index., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 35, 452–465 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-016-5295-7 DOI：

摘要

Abstract

To understand the impacts of large-scale circulation during the evolution of El Niño cycle on tropical cyclones (TC) is important and useful for TC forecast. Based on best-track data from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center and reanalysis data from National Centers for Environmental Prediction for the period 1975–2014

we investigated the influences of two types of El Niño

the eastern Pacific El Niño (EP-El Niño) and central Pacific El Niño (CP-El Niño)

on global TC genesis. We also examined how various environmental factors contribute to these influences using a modified genesis potential index (MGPI). The composites reproduced for two types of El Niño

from their developing to decaying phases

were able to qualitatively replicate observed cyclogenesis in several basins except for the Arabian Sea. Certain factors of MGPI with more influence than others in various regions are identified. Over the western North Pacific

five variables were all important in the two El Niño types during developing summer (July–August–September) and fall (October–November–December)

and decaying spring (April–May–June) and summer. In the eastern Pacific

vertical shear and relative vorticity are the crucial factors for the two types of El Niño during developing and decaying summers. In the Atlantic

vertical shear

potential intensity and relative humidity are important for the opposite variation of EP- and CP-El Niños during decaying summers. In the Southern Hemisphere

the five variables have varying contributions to TC genesis variation during peak season (January–February–March) for the two types of El Niño. In the Bay of Bengal

relative vorticity

humidity and omega may be responsible for clearly reduced TC genesis during developing fall for the two types and slightly suppressed TC cyclogenesis during EP-El Niño decaying spring. In the Arabian Sea

the EP-El Niño generates a slightly positive anomaly of TC genesis during developing falls and decaying springs

but the MGPI failed to capture this variation.

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