Wang, S., Guan, Y., Guan, T. et al. Oscillation in frequency of tropical cyclones passing Taiwan and Hainan Islands and the relationship with summer monsoon., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 30, 966–973 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-012-1274-9
DOI:
Wang, S., Guan, Y., Guan, T. et al. Oscillation in frequency of tropical cyclones passing Taiwan and Hainan Islands and the relationship with summer monsoon., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 30, 966–973 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-012-1274-9DOI:
Oscillation in frequency of tropical cyclones passing Taiwan and Hainan Islands and the relationship with summer monsoon
摘要
Abstract
The temporal variations in the frequency of tropical cyclones (TCs) traversing the Taiwan and Hainan Islands (TH islands)
were analyzed using a best-track TC dataset from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center for the period 1945–2007. Results show that the oscillations were interannual and interdecadal on the timescales of 2–8 and 8–12 years
respectively. It is also shown that the number of TCs formed in the western North Pacific basin (WNP) and of those traversing the TH islands varied intraseasonally. These results also held for typhoons traversing the TH islands
although the oscillations were less apparent. This study identified interrelationships between the frequency of TCs making landfall on the TH islands and the East Asia summer monsoon (EASM)
the South Asia summer monsoon (SASM)
and the South China Sea summer monsoon (SCSSM). The SCSSM significantly influenced the number of TCs traversing Hainan Island
but had little influence on the number of TCs traversing Taiwan Island. By contrast
the SASM influenced the numbers of TCs traversing both of the TH islands
shown by correlation coefficients of 0.41 for Taiwan Island and −0.25 for Hainan Island. In addition
the frequency of TC landfall on Taiwan Island increased during years of enhanced EASM
as indicated by a correlation coefficient of 0.4.
关键词
Keywords
references
Chan J C-L. 1985. Tropical cyclone activity in the northwest Pacific in relation to the El Niño/Southern Oscillation phenomenon. Monthly Weather Review, 113: 599–606.
Chan J C-L. 2005. Interannual and interdecadal variations of tropical cyclone activity over the Western North Pacific. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 89: 143–152.
Chan J C-L. 2006. Comment on: changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science, 311: 1 713–1 714
Chan J C-L, Shi J E. 1996. Long-term trends and interannual variability in tropical cyclone activity over the Western North Pacific. Geophysical Research Letters, 23: 2 765–2 767.
Chan J C-L, Xu M. 2009. Inter-annual and inter-decadal variations of landfalling tropical cyclones in East Asia. Part I: time series analysis. Int. J. Climatol., 29: 1 285–1 293, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1782.
Chen T-C, Weng S P, Yamazaki N, Kiehne S. 1998. Interannual variation in the tropical cyclone formation over the western North Pacific. Monthly Weather Review, 126: 1 080–1 090.
Chen T C, Wang S Y, Wang Y, Yen M C, Gallus W A. 2004. Role of the monsoon gyre in the interannual variation of tropical cyclone formation over the Western North Pacific. Weather and Forecasting, 19: 776–785.
Chen J-M, Li T, Shih C-F, 2010. Tropical cyclone- and monsoon-induced rainfall variability in Taiwan. J. Climate, 23: 4 107–4 120.
Chen J-M, Chen H-S. 2011. Interdecadal variability of summer rainfall in Taiwan associated with tropical cyclones and monsoon. J. Climate, 24: 5 786–5 798.
Emanuel K A. 2005. Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature, 436: 686–688, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature03906.
Fogarty E A, Elsner J B, Jagger T H, Liu K-B, Louie K-S. 2006. Variations in typhoon landfalls over China. Adv. Atmos. Sciences, 23: 665–677.
Fudeyasu H, Iizuka S, Matsuura T. 2006. Impact of ENSO on landfall characteristics of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific during the summer monsoon season. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33: L21815, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2006GL027449.
Gao J Y, Zhang X Z, Jiang Z H, You L J. 2008. Anomalous western North Pacific monsoon trough and tropical cyclone activities. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 30: 35–47.
Goh A Z-C, Chan J C-L. 2010. Interannual and interdecadal variations of tropical cyclone activity in the South China Sea. Int. J. Climatol., 36: 827–843.
Gray W M. 1998. The formation of tropical cyclones. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 67: 37–69.
Harr P A, Elsberry R L. 1991. Tropical cyclone track characteristics as a function of large-scale circulation anomalies. Mon. Wea. Rev., 119: 1 448–1 468.
Harr P A, Elsberry R L. 1995. Large-scale circulation variability over the tropical western North Pacific. Part I: Spatial patterns and tropical cyclone characteristics. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123: 1 225–1 246.
Lander M A. 1994. An exploratory analysis of the relationship between tropical storm formation in the western North Pacific and ENSO. Monthly Weather Review, 122: 636–651.
Li J P, Zeng Q C. 2002. A unified monsoon index. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29: 1 274, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2001GL013874.
Li J P, Zeng Q C. 2003. A new monsoon index and the geographical distribution of the global monsoons. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 20: 299–302.
Li J P, Zeng Q C. 2005. A new monsoon index, its interannual variability and relation with monsoon precipitation. Climatic and Environmental Research, 10: 351–365.
Li Y, Chen L S, Zhang S J, Lei X T. 2006. Statistical characteristics on tropical cyclones landfall in China. J. Trop. Meteorol., 12: 150–158.
McBride J L. 1995. Tropical Cyclone Formation, Chapter 3, Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones. In: Elsberry R L ed. Tech. Doc. WMO/TD No. 693. World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland. p.63–105.
Ren F, Wu G, Dong W, Wang X, Wang Y, Ai W, Li W. 2006. Changes in tropical cyclone precipitation over China. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33: L20702, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2006GL027951.
Ren F, Wang X, Chen L, Wang Y. 2008. Tropical cyclones landfalling in the mainland, Hainan and Taiwan of China and their interelations. Acta Meteorological Sinica, 66: 224–235.
Sun X R, Duan Y H. 2003. A study of the relationships between the East Asian summer monsoon and the tropical cyclone frequency in the northwestern Pacific. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 27: 67–74.
Tu J-Y, Chou C, Chu P-S. 2009. The abrupt shift of typhoon activity in the vicinity of Taiwan and its association with western North Pacific-East Asian climate change. J. Climate, 22: 3 617–3 628.
Wang B, Huang F, Wu Z W, Yang J, Fu X H, Kikuchi K. 2009. Multi-scale climate variability of the South China Sea monsoon: a review. Dyn. Atmos. Ocean, 47: 15–37, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2008.09.004.
Wang H, Ding Y H. 2006. Influence of western north Pacific summer monsoon changes on typhoon genesis. Acta Meteorological Sinica, 64: 345–356.
Webster P J, Holland G J, Curry J A et al. 2005. Changes in tropical cyclones number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science, 309: 1 844–1 846.
Wu L, Wang B. 2004. Assessing impacts of global warming on tropical cyclone tracks. J. Climate, 17: 1 686–1 698.
Wu L, Wang B, Geng S. 2005. Growing typhoon influences on East Asia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32: L18703, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005GL022937.
Wu M C, Chang W L, Leung W M. 2004. Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation events on tropical cyclone landfalling activity in the western North Pacific. J. Climate, 17: 1 419–1 428.
Wu Y, Wu S, Zhai P. 2007.The impact of tropical cyclones on Hainan Island’s extreme and total precipitation. Int. J. Climatol., 27: 1 059–1 064, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1464.
Zhang H, Guan Y P. 2012. Relationship between the South China Sea summer monsoon and the first-landfall tropical cyclone over mainland of China. Acta Physica Sinica, in press.
The trial reading is over, you can activate your VIP account to continue reading.