Does the Asian monsoon modulate tropical cyclone activity over the South China Sea?

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Does the Asian monsoon modulate tropical cyclone activity over the South China Sea?

Updated：2023-05-16

- Does the Asian monsoon modulate tropical cyclone activity over the South China Sea?
- Journal of Oceanology and Limnology Vol. 30, Issue 6, Pages: 960-965(2012)
- Affiliations：
  
  1. State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography South China Sea Institute of Oceanology Chinese Academy of Sciences
  2. Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
- Author bio：
- Funds：
- DOI：10.1007/s00343-012-1273-x
  CLC：
- Online First：17 November 2012，
  
  Published：2012
- Accepted：
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Huang, Q., Guan, Y. Does the Asian monsoon modulate tropical cyclone activity over the South China Sea?., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 30, 960–965 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-012-1273-x
DOI：

Huang, Q., Guan, Y. Does the Asian monsoon modulate tropical cyclone activity over the South China Sea?., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 30, 960–965 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-012-1273-x DOI：

摘要

Abstract

To investigate whether the Asian monsoon influences tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the South China Sea (SCS)

TCs (including tropical storms and typhoons) over the SCS are analyzed using the Joint Typhoon Warning Center dataset from 1945 to 2009. Results show an increasing trend in the frequencies of TC-all (all TCs over the SCS) and TY-all (all typhoons over the SCS)

due mainly to an increase in the number of TCs moving into the SCS after development elsewhere. Little change is seen in the number of TCs that form in the SCS. The results of wavelet analysis indicate that the frequency of typhoons (TY) shows a similar oscillation as that of TCs

i.e.

a dominant periodicity of 8–16 years around the 1970s for all TC activity

except for TC-mov (TCs that moved into the SCS from the western North Pacific). To examine the relationship between typhoon activity and the summer monsoon

a correlation analysis was performed that considered typhoons

TCs

and five monsoon indexes. The analysis reveals statistically significant negative correlation between the strength of the Southwest Asian summer monsoon and typhoon activity over the SCS

which likely reflects the effect of the monsoon on TC formation in the western North Pacific (WNP) and subsequent movement into the SCS. There is a statistically significant negative correlation between TY-loc (typhoons that developed from TCs formed over the SCS) and the South China Sea summer monsoon and Southeast Asian summer monsoon.

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references

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