Response of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset to air-sea heat fluxes over the Indian Ocean

Jinnian Chen; Tao Zuo; Hongna Wang

doi:10.1007/s00343-012-1255-z

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Response of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset to air-sea heat fluxes over the Indian Ocean

Updated：2023-05-16

- Response of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset to air-sea heat fluxes over the Indian Ocean
- Journal of Oceanology and Limnology Vol. 30, Issue 6, Pages: 974-979(2012)
- Affiliations：
  
  1. Institute of Oceanology Chinese Academy of Sciences
  2. Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves Chinese Academy of Sciences
  3. Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Oceanic Meteorology China Meteorological Administration
  4. Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
- Author bio：
- Funds：
- DOI：10.1007/s00343-012-1255-z
  CLC：
- Online First：17 November 2012，
  
  Published：2012
- Accepted：
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Chen, J., Zuo, T. & Wang, H. Response of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset to air-sea heat fluxes over the Indian Ocean., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 30, 974–979 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-012-1255-z
DOI：

Chen, J., Zuo, T. & Wang, H. Response of the South China Sea summer monsoon onset to air-sea heat fluxes over the Indian Ocean., Chin. J. Ocean. Limnol. 30, 974–979 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-012-1255-z DOI：

摘要

Abstract

We objectively define the onset date of the South China Sea (SCS) summer monsoon

after having evaluated previous studies and considered various factors. Then

interannual and interdecadal characteristics of the SCS summer monsoon onset are analyzed. In addition

we calculate air-sea heat fluxes over the Indian Ocean using the advanced method of CORARE3.0

based on satellite remote sensing data. The onset variation cycle has remarkable interdecadal variability with cycles of 16 a and 28 a. Correlation analysis between air-sea heat fluxes in the Indian Ocean and the SCS summer monsoon indicates that there is a remarkable lag correlation between them. This result has important implications for prediction of the SCS summer monsoon

and provides a scientific basis for further study of the onset process of this monsoon and its prediction. Based on these results

a linear regression equation is obtained to predict the onset date of the monsoon in 2011 and 2012. The forecast is that the onset date of 2011 will be normal or 1 pentad earlier than the normal year

while the onset date in 2012 will be 1–2 pentads later.

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