Predicting global distribution of the giant kelp <italic style="font-style: italic">Macrocystis</italic> <italic style="font-style: italic">pyrifera</italic> under climate warming

Shuxiang RUAN; Ke SUN; Yitao WANG; Xiaowen ZHANG; Dong XU; Xiao FAN; Wei WANG; Pengyan ZHANG; Lepu WANG; Naihao YE

doi:10.1007/s00343-025-5055-7

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Predicting global distribution of the giant kelp Macrocystis pyrifera under climate warming

Ecology | Updated：2026-03-26

- Predicting global distribution of the giant kelp Macrocystis pyrifera under climate warming
- Predicting global distribution of the giant kelp Macrocystis pyrifera under climate warming
- 海洋湖沼学报(英文) 2026年44卷第1期页码：160-173
- Affiliations：
  
  1.College of Fisheries and Life Science, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China
  2.National Key Laboratory of Mariculture Biobreeding and Sustainable Goods, Yellow Sea Fisheries Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Fishery Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China
  3.Function Laboratory for Marine Fisheries Science and Food Production Processes, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266200, China
- Author bio：
  
  yenh@ysfri.ac.cn
- Funds：
  
  the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2023YFD2400800);the Laoshan Laboratory(LSKJ202203801;LSKJ202203204);the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(ZR2023MD127;ZR2021MD075);the Central Public-interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund CAFS(2023TD28;20603022023012);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(32373107);the China Agriculture Research System(CARS-50);the Taishan Scholars Program
- DOI：10.1007/s00343-025-5055-7
  中图分类号：
- 收稿：2024-09-05，
  
  录用：2025-03-01，
  
  网络首发：2025-04-07，
  
  纸质出版：2026-01-01
- Accepted：
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Shuxiang RUAN, Ke SUN, Yitao WANG, 等. Predicting global distribution of the giant kelp Macrocystis pyrifera under climate warming[J]. 海洋湖沼学报(英文), 2026,44(1):160-173.

RUAN Shuxiang,SUN Ke,WANG Yitao,et al.Predicting global distribution of the giant kelp Macrocystis pyrifera under climate warming[J].Journal of Oceanology and Limnology,2026,44(01):160-173.
Shuxiang RUAN, Ke SUN, Yitao WANG, 等. Predicting global distribution of the giant kelp Macrocystis pyrifera under climate warming[J]. 海洋湖沼学报(英文), 2026,44(1):160-173. DOI： 10.1007/s00343-025-5055-7.

RUAN Shuxiang,SUN Ke,WANG Yitao,et al.Predicting global distribution of the giant kelp Macrocystis pyrifera under climate warming[J].Journal of Oceanology and Limnology,2026,44(01):160-173. DOI： 10.1007/s00343-025-5055-7.

摘要

Abstract

Giant kelp

Macrocystis

pyrifera

an important foundation species with great ecological and economic value

is threatened by climate change. To better understand the impact of climate warming on

pyrifera

we investigated its global distribution dynamics by an optimized species distribution model (SDM). Results showed that wave height

sea surface temperature

benthic temperature

and benthic phosphate concentration were key factors shaping the distribution of

pyrifera

. In addition to currently known distribution regions

the model revealed potential suitable habitats globally. Under future climate scenarios

the habitat suitability of

pyrifera

would decrease at low latitudes and increase at high latitudes

resulting in a poleward shift of suitable habitats. In the regions currently occupied by

pyrifera

the high suitable habitats were predicted to shrink

which implies that the existing

pyrifera

would be adversely impacted. These results serve as references for the conservation and utilization of

pyrifera

resource.

关键词

Keywords

references

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DOI：10.1007/s00343-025-5055-7

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