

FOLLOWUS
1.Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves, Institute of Oceanology, and Center for Ocean Mega-Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266071, China
2.Laboratory for Ocean and Climate Dynamics, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266237, China
3.Center for Excellence in Quaternary Science and Global Change, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an 710061, China
4.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
5.LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
6.First Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, Qingdao 266061, China
7.Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao 266237, China
8.Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling (MASNUM), Ministry of Natural Resources, Qingdao 266061, China
9.National Engineering Laboratory for Integrated Aero-Space-Ground-Ocean Big Data Application Technology, Qingdao 266061, China
10.State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
11.Laboratory for Climate Studies and CMA-NJU Joint Laboratory for Climate Prediction Studies, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
12.Environmental Science and Engineering, University of Northern British Columbia, British Columbia V2N 4Z9, Canada
13.State Key Laboratory of Satellite Ocean Environment Dynamics, Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, Hangzhou 310012, China
14.Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education (KLME), and Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC-FEMD), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
15.Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China
ZHANG Rong-Hua, rzhang@qdio.ac.cn
收稿:2020-04-10,
录用:2020-5-7,
网络首发:2020-06-12,
纸质出版:2020-07
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A review of progress in coupled ocean-atmosphere model developments for ENSO studies in China[J]. 海洋湖沼学报(英文), 2020,38(4):930-961.
ZHANG Rong-Hua, YU Yongqiang, SONG Zhenya, et al. A review of progress in coupled ocean-atmosphere model developments for ENSO studies in China[J]. Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 2020, 38(4): 930-961.
A review of progress in coupled ocean-atmosphere model developments for ENSO studies in China[J]. 海洋湖沼学报(英文), 2020,38(4):930-961. DOI: 10.1007/s00343-020-0157-8.
ZHANG Rong-Hua, YU Yongqiang, SONG Zhenya, et al. A review of progress in coupled ocean-atmosphere model developments for ENSO studies in China[J]. Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 2020, 38(4): 930-961. DOI: 10.1007/s00343-020-0157-8.
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest interannual signal that is produced by basinscale processes in the tropical Pacific
with significant effects on weather and climate worldwide. In the past
extensive and intensive international efforts have been devoted to coupled model developments for ENSO studies. A hierarchy of coupled ocean-atmosphere models has been formulated; in terms of their complexity
they can be categorized into intermediate coupled models (ICMs)
hybrid coupled models (HCMs)
and fully coupled general circulation models (CGCMs). ENSO modeling has made significant progress over the past decades
reaching a stage where coupled models can now be used to successfully predict ENSO events 6 months to one year in advance. Meanwhile
ENSO exhibits great diversity and complexity as observed in nature
which still cannot be adequately captured by current state-of-the-art coupled models
presenting a challenge to ENSO modeling. We primarily reviewed the long-term efforts in ENSO modeling continually and steadily made at different institutions in China; some selected representative examples are presented here to review the current status of ENSO model developments and applications
which have been actively pursued with noticeable progress being made recently. As ENSO simulations are very sensitive to model formulations and process representations etc.
dedicated efforts have been devoted to ENSO model developments and improvements. Now
different ocean-atmosphere coupled models have been available in China
which exhibit good model performances and have already had a variety of applications to climate modeling
including the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). Nevertheless
large biases and uncertainties still exist in ENSO simulations and predictions
and there are clear rooms for their improvements
which are still an active area of researches and applications. Here
model performances of ENSO simulations are assessed in terms of advantages and disadvantages with these differently formulated coupled models
pinpointing to the areas where they need to be further improved for ENSO studies. These analyses provide valuable guidance for future improvements in ENSO simulations and predictions.
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R H Zhang , C Gao . The IOCAS intermediate coupled model (IOCAS ICM) and its real-time predictions of the 2015-16 El Niño event . Science Bulletin , 2016 . 66 ( 13 ): 1 061 - 1 070 . DOI: 10.1007/s11434-016-1064-4 http://doi.org/10.1007/s11434-016-1064-4 .
R H Zhang , R Kleeman , S E Zebiak , N Keenlyside , S Raynaud . An empirical parameterization of subsurface entrainment temperature for improved SST anomaly simulations in an intermediate ocean model . Journal of Climate , 2005a . 18 ( 2 ): 350 - 371 . DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-3271.1 http://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-3271.1 .
R H Zhang , L M Rothstein , A J Busalacchi . Origin of upper-ocean warming and El Niño change on decadal time scales in the Tropical Pacific Ocean . Nature , 1998 . 391 ( 6670 ): 879 - 883 . DOI: 10.1038/36081 http://doi.org/10.1038/36081 .
R H Zhang , F Tian , X J Wang . A new hybrid coupled model of atmosphere, ocean physics, and ocean biogeochemistry to represent biogeophysical feedback effects in the tropical Pacific . Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems , 2018 . 10 ( 8 ): 1 901 - 1 923 . DOI: 10.1029/2017MS001250 http://doi.org/10.1029/2017MS001250 .
R H Zhang , S E Zebiak . Effect of penetrating momentum Flux over the surface boundary/mixed layer in a z -coordinate OGCM of the Tropical Pacific . Journal of Physical Oceanography , 2002 . 32 ( 12 ): 3 616 - 3 637 . DOI: 10.1175/1520-0485(2002)032<3616:eopmfo>2.0.co;2 http://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(2002)032<3616:eopmfo>2.0.co;2 .
R H Zhang , S E Zebiak , R Kleeman , N Keenlyside . A new intermediate coupled model for El Niño simulation and prediction . Geophysical Research Letters , 2003 . 30 ( 19 ): 2 012 DOI: 10.1029/2003GL018010 http://doi.org/10.1029/2003GL018010 .
R H Zhang , S E Zebiak , R Kleeman , N Keenlyside . Retrospective El Niño forecasts using an improved intermediate coupled model . Monthly Weather Review , 2005b . 133 ( 9 ): 2 777 - 2 802 . DOI: 10.1175/MWR3000.1 http://doi.org/10.1175/MWR3000.1 .
R H Zhang , Q C Zeng , G Q Zhou , X Z Liang . A coupled general circulation model for the tropical Pacific Ocean and global atmosphere . Advances in Atmospheric Sciences , 1995 . 12 ( 2 ): 127 - 142 . DOI: 10.1007/BF02656827 http://doi.org/10.1007/BF02656827 .
R H Zhang , F Zheng , J S Zhu , Y H Pei , Q A Zheng , Z G Wang . Modulation of El Niño-Southern Oscillation by freshwater flux and salinity variability in the tropical Pacific . Advances in Atmospheric Sciences , 2012 . 29 ( 4 ): 647 - 660 . DOI: 10.1007/s00376-012-1235-4 http://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-012-1235-4 .
R H Zhang , F Zheng , J Zhu , Z G Wang . A successful real-time forecast of the 2010-11 La Niña event . Scientific Reports , 2013 . 3 1 108 DOI: 10.1038/srep01108 http://doi.org/10.1038/srep01108 .
X H Zhang , N Bao , R C Yu , W Q Wang . Coupling scheme experiments based on an atmospheric and an oceanic GCM . Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences , 1992 . 16 ( 2 ): 129 - 144 . .
X H Zhang , X Z Liang . A numerical world ocean general circulation model . Advances in Atmospheric Sciences , 1989 . 6 ( 1 ): 44 - 61 . DOI: 10.1007/bf02656917 http://doi.org/10.1007/bf02656917 .
F Zheng , X H Fang , J Zhu , J Y Yu , X C Li . Modulation of Bjerknes feedback on the decadal variations in ENSO predictability . Geophysical Research Letters , 2016 . 43 ( 24 ): 12 560 - 12 568 . DOI: 10.1002/2016GL071636 http://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071636 .
F Zheng , J Zhu , R H Zhang , G Q Zhou . Ensemble hindcasts of SST anomalies in the tropical Pacific using an intermediate coupled model . Geophysical Research Letters , 2006 . 33 ( 19 ): L19604 DOI: 10.1029/2006GL026994 http://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL026994 .
H Zhi , R H Zhang , P F Lin , L N Wang . Quantitative analysis of the feedback induced by the freshwater flux in the tropical Pacific using CMIP5 . Advances in Atmospheric Sciences , 2015 . 32 ( 10 ): 1 341 - 1 353 . DOI: 10.1007/s00376-015-5064-0 http://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-015-5064-0 .
H Zhi , R H Zhang , P F Lin , S W Shi . Effects of salinity variability on recent El Niño events . Atmosphere , 2019 . 10 ( 8 ): 475 DOI: 10.3390/atmos10080475 http://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10080475 .
J S Zhu , B H Huang , L Marx , J L Ⅲ Kinter , M A Balmaseda , R H Zhang , Z Z Hu . Ensemble ENSO hindcasts initialized from multiple ocean analyses . Geophysical Research Letters , 2012 . 39 ( 9 ): L09602 DOI: 10.1029/2012GL051503 http://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL051503 .
J S Zhu , A Kumar , B H Huang , M A Balmaseda , Z Z Hu , L Marx , J L Ⅲ Kinter . The role of off-equatorial surface temperature anomalies in the 2014 El Niño prediction . Scientific Reports , 2016 . 6 19 677 DOI: 10.1038/srep19677 http://doi.org/10.1038/srep19677 .
J S Zhu , A Kumar , W Q Wang , Z Z Hu , B H Huang , M A Balmaseda . Importance of convective parameterization in ENSO predictions . Geophysical Research Letters , 2017 . 44 ( 12 ): 6 334 - 6 342 . DOI: 10.1002/2017GL073669 http://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073669 .
J S Zhu , G Q Zhou , R H Zhang , Z B Sun . Improving ENSO prediction in a hybrid coupled model with an embedded entrainment temperature parameterisation . International Journal of Climatology , 2013 . 33 ( 2 ): 343 - 355 . DOI: 10.1002/joc.3426 http://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3426 .
J S Zhu , G Q Zhou , R H Zhang , Z B Sun . An improved hybrid coupled model: ENSO simulations . Chinese Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences , 2009 . 33 ( 4 ): 657 - 669 . http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/daqikx200904001 http://d.old.wanfangdata.com.cn/Periodical/daqikx200904001 , .
Y C Zhu , R H Zhang . An Argo-derived background diffusivity parameterization for improved ocean simulations in the tropical Pacific . Geophysical Research Letters , 2018 . 45 ( 3 ): 1 509 - 1 517 . DOI: 10.1002/2017gl076269 http://doi.org/10.1002/2017gl076269 .
Y C Zhu , R H Zhang , J C Sun . North Pacific upper-ocean cold temperature biases in CMIP6 simulations and the role of regional vertical mixing . Journal of Climate , 2020 . DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0654.1 http://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0654.1 .
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