

FOLLOWUS
1.College of Engineering, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China
2.Key Laboratory of Ocean Observation and Forecasting, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266000, China
3.Key Laboratory of Ocean Circulation and Waves, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qingdao 266000, China
hnbc_7@163.com
yangnan@qdio.ac.cn
Received:24 December 2024,
Accepted:04 February 2025,
Online First:17 March 2025,
Published:01 January 2026
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YANG Ruikai,JIAO Shuangjian,YANG Nan.Deep neural network based on adversarial training for short-term high-resolution precipitation nowcasting from radar echo images[J].Journal of Oceanology and Limnology,2026,44(01):85-98.
YANG Ruikai,JIAO Shuangjian,YANG Nan.Deep neural network based on adversarial training for short-term high-resolution precipitation nowcasting from radar echo images[J].Journal of Oceanology and Limnology,2026,44(01):85-98. DOI: 10.1007/s00343-025-4354-3.
Precipitation nowcasting is of great importance for disaster prevention and mitigation. However
precipitation is a complex spatio-temporal phenomenon influenced by various underlying physical factors. Even slight changes in the initial precipitation field can have a significant impact on the future precipitation patterns
making the nowcasting of short-term high-resolution precipitation a major challenge. Traditional deep learning methods often have difficulty capturing the long-term spatial dependence of precipitation and are usually at a low resolution. To address these issues
based upon the Simpler yet Better Video Prediction (SimVP) framework
we proposed a deep generative neural network that incorporates the Simple Parameter-Free Attention Module (SimAM) and Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) for short-term high-resolution precipitation event forecasting. Through an adversarial training strategy
critical precipitation features were extracted from complex radar echo images. During the adversarial learning process
the dynamic competition between the generator and the discriminator could continuously enhance the model in prediction accuracy and resolution for short-term precipitation. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method could effectively forecast short-term precipitation events on various scales and showed the best overall performance among existing methods.
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