Impact of climate change on global catches of marine fisheries from 1971 to 2020

Yonglin LIU; Lin LUO; Yang FENG; Junmin LI; Bo SU; Zhigao QIU

doi:10.1007/s00343-024-4064-2

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Impact of climate change on global catches of marine fisheries from 1971 to 2020

Aquaculture and Fisheries | Updated：2025-05-27

- Impact of climate change on global catches of marine fisheries from 1971 to 2020
- Journal of Oceanology and Limnology Vol. 43, Issue 3, Pages: 996-1013(2025)
- Affiliations：
  
  1.State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences & Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Guangzhou 510301, China
  2.College of Oceanology, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
  3.National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, Beijing 100081, China
  4.Guangdong Key Lab of Ocean Remote Sensing, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510301, China
- Author bio：
  
  yfeng@scsio.ac.cn
- Funds：
- DOI：10.1007/s00343-024-4064-2
  CLC：
- Received：01 March 2024，
  
  Online First：18 June 2024，
  
  Published：01 May 2025
- Accepted：
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LIU Yonglin,LUO Lin,FENG Yang,et al.Impact of climate change on global catches of marine fisheries from 1971 to 2020[J].Journal of Oceanology and Limnology,2025,43(03):996-1013.
DOI：

LIU Yonglin,LUO Lin,FENG Yang,et al.Impact of climate change on global catches of marine fisheries from 1971 to 2020[J].Journal of Oceanology and Limnology,2025,43(03):996-1013. DOI： 10.1007/s00343-024-4064-2.

摘要

Abstract

Marine fisheries catches have significant economic

social

and cultural importance for coastal communities and nations worldwide. In addition to overfishing and predation

oceanic conditions linked to climate variability profoundly affect catches of oceanic fish species. Based on the fishery data from the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations and multiple physical and biogeochemical datasets

we examined the correlation between major modes of climate variability at high and low frequency and multiple key fish species in five major fishing grounds worldwide. The results reveal that over 80% of selected key fish species have declined over the past five decades

with more than 50% transitioning from an increasing to a decreasing trend in the 1990s. Additionally

over 80% of fish species directly correlate with low-frequency climate indices

including Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)

Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) and tropical southern Atlantic (TSA). However

less than 40% of fish species exhibit a direct association with high-frequency climate indices

of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

North Atlantic Ocean (NAO)

and Atlantic Niño (ATL3). Synthetic analysis on the Sea Surface Temperature (SST)

Mixed Layer Depth (MLD) and chlorophyll

revealed that shifts in the low-frequency climate can directly affect the habitats of numerous fish species

and subsequently influence their fishing yields. Specially

negative SST anomalies and positive chlorophyll-

anomalies were observed during a positive phase of PDO in the central and western Pacific regions

resulting in an increased catch values of Alaska pollock

Pacific sardine

and Chilean jack mackerel. Similar changes occur in positive and negative phases of other low frequency indices. Our research offered a comprehensive perspective on oceanic fish catch responses to climate change

serving as a guide for formulating effective management strategies for marine fish resources.

关键词

Keywords

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