Validation of an operational forecasting system of sea dike risk in the southern Zhejiang Province, South China

Tao LI; Fangdong WANG; Jingming HOU; Zhumei CHE; Jianxi DONG

doi:10.1007/s00343-019-8240-8

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Validation of an operational forecasting system of sea dike risk in the southern Zhejiang Province, South China

Aquaculture and Fisheries | Updated：2023-05-20

- Validation of an operational forecasting system of sea dike risk in the southern Zhejiang Province, South China
- Journal of Oceanology and Limnology Vol. 37, Issue 6, Pages: 1929-1940(2019)
- Affiliations：
  
  1.National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, Beijing 100081, China
  2.Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting of State Oceanic Administration, Beijing 100081, China
  3.Beijing Space Flight Control Center, Beijing 100094, China
  4.Marine Monitoring and Forecasting Center of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou 310007, China
- Author bio：
  
  LI Tao, E-mail:litao_0613@163.com
- Funds：
- DOI：10.1007/s00343-019-8240-8
  CLC：
- Received：16 January 2019，
  
  Accepted：26 March 2019，
  
  Online First：30 April 2019，
  
  Published：2019-11
- Accepted：
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Tao LI, Fangdong WANG, Jingming HOU, et al. Validation of an operational forecasting system of sea dike risk in the southern Zhejiang Province, South China[J]. Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 2019, 37(6): 1929-1940.
DOI：

Tao LI, Fangdong WANG, Jingming HOU, et al. Validation of an operational forecasting system of sea dike risk in the southern Zhejiang Province, South China[J]. Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 2019, 37(6): 1929-1940. DOI： 10.1007/s00343-019-8240-8.

摘要

Abstract

In this study

an operational forecasting system of sea dike risk in the southern Zhejiang Province

South China was developed based on a coupled storm-surge and wave model. This forecasting system is important because of the high cost of storm-surge damage and the need for rapid emergency planning. A comparison with astronomical tides in 2016 and the validation of storm surges and high water marks of 20 typhoons verified that the forecast system has a good simulation ability. The system can forecast relatively realistic water levels and wave heights as shown under the parametric atmospheric forces simulated in a case study; the sea dikes in credible high risk were mainly located in the estuaries

rivers

and around the islands in the southern Zhejiang. Therefore

the forecast system is applicable in the southern Zhejiang with a support to the effective prevention from typhoon storm-surge damage.

关键词

Keywords

references

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