Risk assessment and zoning of sea level rise in Shandong Province

Qingrong LIU; Jian LI; Chengqing RUAN; Zhonghui YIN; Yan JIAO; Qing SUN; Xihu LIAN; Shan ZHONG

doi:10.1007/s00343-019-8233-7

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Risk assessment and zoning of sea level rise in Shandong Province

Updated：2023-05-20

- Risk assessment and zoning of sea level rise in Shandong Province
- Journal of Oceanology and Limnology Vol. 37, Issue 6, Pages: 2014-2024(2019)
- Affiliations：
  
  North China Sea Marine Forecasting Center, Ministry of Natural Resources (MNR), Qingdao 266061, China
- Author bio：
  
  RUAN Chengqing, E-mail:ruanchengqing@ncs.mnr.gov.cn
- Funds：
- DOI：10.1007/s00343-019-8233-7
  CLC：
- Received：07 September 2018，
  
  Accepted：01 November 2018，
  
  Online First：05 December 2018，
  
  Published：2019-11
- Accepted：
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Qingrong LIU, Jian LI, Chengqing RUAN, et al. Risk assessment and zoning of sea level rise in Shandong Province[J]. Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 2019, 37(6): 2014-2024.
DOI：

Qingrong LIU, Jian LI, Chengqing RUAN, et al. Risk assessment and zoning of sea level rise in Shandong Province[J]. Journal of Oceanology and Limnology, 2019, 37(6): 2014-2024. DOI： 10.1007/s00343-019-8233-7.

摘要

Abstract

Sea level rise is a slow-onset disaster. We collected information about the natural and ecological environments

tides and sea levels

and socio-economic aspects to investigate the distribution and zoning of the risks from sea level rise across Shandong Province. The trends in sea level in different counties of Shandong Province were predicted using moving averages and a random dynamic analysis forecasting model

and the model outputs and socio-economic indicators were combined to assess the risks. The results show that the risks of sea level rise along the western coast of Bohai Bay and Laizhou Bay in Shandong Province were sufficiently large to warrant attention.

关键词

Keywords

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